This shift in demand has led to a decline in sales for local refineries, which are expected to post poor sales in the second quarter of 2023.


Lahore: Pakistan's inflation has skyrocketed in recent months, leading many citizens to look for cheaper fuel alternatives. As a result, Iranian oil has become increasingly popular among small traders and individuals with business networks in Iran.
This shift in demand has led to a decline in sales for local refineries, which are expected to post poor sales in the second quarter of 2023. The decline in local refinery sales coincides with a slowing economy, causing firms in several sectors to shut down, and people to turn to public transport due to rising costs.
To cope with soaring inflation, a weakening rupee, and a shortage of foreign exchange reserves, small traders and individuals have started purchasing Iranian oil at heavily discounted rates. The significant price difference between Pakistani and Iranian oil barrels is impacting refiners' sales and causing losses for the government, which relies heavily on the GST and petroleum development levy from fuel sales to generate revenue.
Despite a ban on Iranian oil importation since 2013, sources say that authorities are turning a blind eye to the imports amid declining foreign reserves. Smuggled Iranian oil is causing billions of dollars in losses for the government and has the potential to cause local refineries to shut down. If smuggling continues, local refineries could be at risk of shutting down, leading to widespread unemployment and a further slowdown in the economy.
To prevent further losses to the economy and the potential shutdown of local refineries, the government needs to take immediate action. One possible solution is to reduce taxes and levies on locally produced fuel, making it more competitive with smuggled Iranian oil. Another option is to increase efforts to crack down on the smuggling of Iranian oil, working with the industry to identify and shut down illegal smuggling routes and increasing penalties for those caught smuggling Iranian oil.
The government must take steps to address the smuggling of Iranian oil to prevent losses to the economy and local refineries' potential shutdown. This includes reducing taxes and levies on locally produced fuel and increasing efforts to crack down on smuggling. Failure to act could lead to widespread unemployment and a further slowdown in the economy, causing significant damage to Pakistan's overall stability.

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