JD Vance’s appearance at the All-In Summit was easily the most comfortable I’ve seen him, but then he was with the people he understands best: other VCs.
Pakistan
No free lunch, no easy solution
There should be no doubt that when in 1996 Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) was launched, it’s aim was to end corruption in the country.
Throughout Imran Khan’s political career, his focus was always centered on looted wealth; on the ardaris and the Sharifs. However, today, it seems like perhaps for Imran Khan, the removal of Zardari and Sharif represented an easy solution to the problems Pakistan faces. As opposed to changing the system, reforming the administration, making a team and planning, the eradication of the two rivals seemed like a much easier step to take.
It was not too difficult to brand the two “thieves” and build the impression that inflation, joblessness, injustices and systemic ills were all because of former rulers. It was easy then to sell the simplistic formula that the eradication of PML-N and PPP governments would automatically lead to the end of all problems.
Ironic then, that today the biggest pitfall that faces the government is the extremely simple solution it offered to these extremely complex problems.
Who can forget what Imran Khan had said before becoming Prime Minister? “I will commit suicide rather than going to the IMF [International Monetary Fund],” he had pledged. Who can forget that Asad Umar and Mian Atif were presented to the country as their economic saviors? According to Murad Saeed, now a Minister, as soon as PTI would form a government, it would bring back $200 billion of Pakistan’s looted wealth and pay off all international loans.
Today Pakistan is not ruled by Asif Ali Zardari. Nawaz Sharif is not the ruler in Islamabad. Imran Khan is sitting in the Premier’s seat since almost three years. The former two have been to jail. They have been bombarded with cases upon cases. But “Naya Pakistan” remains unchanged from the older one. Corruption continues unabated. The common citizen has received no relief. Inflation and unemployment rage on. The dreams of the youth are still shattered.
Affordable housing hasn’t been built, jobs have not been created. Necessary goods are outside the reach of the average citizen. Utility prices remain high.
In short, neither the departure of Zardari, nor the removal of Sharif has resulted in any kind of change. In many ways, matters have become worse, giving rise to more anxiety and hopelessness among the masses. The reason for all this is Imran Khan himself and the though process that PTI refuses to change.
Believing that the simple act of bringing Imran into power will be a universal panacea is something we must all now be concerned with. Compare PTI government’s performance to that of Zardari and Nawaz Sharif. The former has raised the price of gas and electricity by almost 30%. Circular debt has reached the horrifying figure of Rs. 2400 billion, and are projected to reach Rs. 3800 by 2025. Electricity costs, raised a stunning 22 times already, are set to be raised once again. Clarified butter [desi ghee] is more expensive by Rs. 200 while cow’s milk is more expensive by Rs. 100. Fuel and petroleum products have risen by Rs. 40 per liter. Vegetables, the staple food for all poor households, have also become more costly, by Rs. 40 to Rs. 100 per liter.
Burdened by the continuing destruction of the economy, industries are now mulling downsizing their staff by as much as 20%. Eid holidays, brought about by a covid wave, might result in a Rs. 11 billion daily loss to our export sector. Speaking of coronavirus, that brings its own set of problems quite unique to us. Sputnik, the vaccine developed by Russia, is retailing for Rs. 750 in India, while here it is being sold by Rs. 12,500.
In corruption indexes, we have been on a steady freefall. FDI has been reduced by 27% in just seven months.
Three years in power preceded by 22 years of struggle have ended in these depressing figures. Not one day of these years was spent on planning for resolving the country’s many issues. All that the party and its Chairman planned was to refer to Asif Ali Zardari and Nawaz Sharif as “thieves”. Perhaps they really did believe that all that nothing more than this over simplistic step was required.
As they say, it is not easy to fool all the people all the time, but PTI has surely fooled itself for 25 years now.
Technology
JD Vance sells himself to Silicon Valley
JD Vance’s appearance on the All-In podcast was useful for both him and his donor, David Sacks. Vance is selling his ticket, and Sacks is flexing his influence. Who benefits?
The All-In podcast appearance was what business leaders refer to as a display of synergy. Cohost David Sacks’ and Vance’s political fortunes are tied together — if Trump wins, Sacks looks like a kingmaker and has a vice president who owes him favors and will take his calls. If Vance loses, remaining close to his real community — venture capitalists — gives him a valuable network to tap into for future campaigns.
“Donald Trump cares more about the details of public policy than almost anyone I’ve met in public life.”
Vance has called Sacks “one of my closest confidants.” (His other friends include Curtis Yarvin, an anti-democracy software developer, and VC Peter Thiel, about whom, more later.) Sacks has been shoring up influence in the Republican party, first with his flop attempt at coronating Ron DeSantis as the Republican nominee and now with Vance. Besides his fundraising activities, Sacks’ All-In podcast has also hosted Donald Trump and is a place Sacks routinely rants about his take on politics.
As far as I can tell, the purpose of Vance’s appearance on All-In, which is also cohosted by fellow Trump supporter and Silicon Valley SPAC king Chamath Palihapitiya, was to explain away the anti-immigrant sentiment coming from the Republican party.
Vance’s appearance was almost entirely disingenuous. According to Vance, anything bad you have heard about former President Donald Trump is because the lousy people in the American media have been busily lying about him. “The media doesn’t often tell you the truth about Donald Trump,” Vance says. “Donald Trump cares more about the details of public policy than almost anyone I’ve met in public life.” If you don’t believe him, Vance says, “I just encourage you to listen to what he actually says.”
Yes, let’s. The same day the video of the All-In interview was uploaded to YouTube, Trump debated Vice President Kamala Harris. Asked why he had killed an immigration bill, Trump said the following, “First, let me respond to the rallies. She said people start leaving. People don’t go to her rallies, there’s no reason to go.” He went on to discuss how he had “the biggest rallies, the most incredible rallies in the history of politics.” Okay, but maybe I’m cherry-picking! Let’s try another one. Asked if he had a plan for repealing Obamacare, Trump replied, “I have concepts of a plan.”
Thiel characterized himself as “pro-Trump, pro-JD”
So much for Trump’s grasp on public policy. As much fun as I am having quoting Trump, I am less interested in fisking Vance’s appearance and more interested in what he’s doing on All-In in the first place.
Vance has played at being a man of the people, but he owes his place on Trump’s ticket to Silicon Valley’s billionaires. After all, he is a pet of Thiel, who put forward $15 million for Vance’s Ohio Senate campaign. (There were other wealthy donors, too, including Oculus founder Palmer Luckey.) Thiel said he would sit out this race, but Vance has publicly said he is attempting to get Thiel “off the sidelines” and donating into Trump’s campaign. (In his own All-In appearance, Thiel characterized himself as “pro-Trump, pro-JD” and said that though he is not donating money, he is “supporting them in every other way possible.”)
In Thiel’s absence, his fellow PayPal mafioso Sacks has aggressively moved into politics. Sacks hosted a $300,000-a-person dinner at his mansion to raise tech money for Donald Trump in July. That room wanted Vance for vice president, and it got him.
If you are wondering why Sacks, who is already rich, might be seeking more wealth and power, it’s worth remembering that VCs are middlemen. They have to periodically raise money for their funds, and that’s easier if they look knowledgeable, impressive, connected. Sacks has now hosted both the Republican presidential and vice presidential candidates on his show, and he’s quite cozy with Vance. These kinds of political ties might make fundraising easier or put him in the room with better founders. Even if Trump and Vance lose, he’s still made a powerful statement.
Halting immigration is key to the Trump campaign
That’s the “connections” side of this equation — but Vance’s real job was the “knowledgeable” part. All-In is playing to people who consider themselves tech intelligentsia. They want one of their own to reassure them that despite Trump’s tendency to blurt out nonsense about immigrants eating housepets, he’s a reasonable man like them. Claiming the media is unfairly biased against Trump is the kind of thing that plays in these rooms, where people already believe in an unfair media bias against tech CEOs.
More specifically, the real reason for Vance’s appearance can be found near the middle of the podcast, when he began discussing immigration.
Silicon Valley is full of immigrants, from top (the current CEOs of Google, Microsoft, Adobe, and IBM) to bottom. Immigration is a crucial issue for this group of people. In 2016, when VC Marc Andreessen endorsed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump, he said, “The Valley wouldn’t be here, we wouldn’t be doing any of this if we didn’t have the amazing flow of immigrants that we’ve had in the last 80 years. And the idea of choking that off just makes me sick to my stomach.”
Halting immigration is key to the Trump campaign, as evinced by signs reading “Mass Deportation Now” that were held up during the Republican convention. In his previous term, Trump targeted the H-1B program, the visas that many tech workers use to come to the US. Andreessen appears to have settled his stomach about this, as he now endorses Trump and had nothing to say about immigration on his own podcast when he explained his decision. Vance’s job was to reassure anyone who might still be feeling queasy.
Any immigrant should be paying attention to Trump’s mass deportation plans
Vance started by making the Republicans’ anti-immigrant stance palatable to anyone who fears it might be bad for business. “Generally I agree, okay, we’re going to let some immigrants in,” he says. “We want them to be high-talent, high quality people. You don’t want to let a large number of illegal aliens in.”
Per Vance, his ticket is about letting the right kind of immigrants in and keeping the wrong kind out. He reminded the crowd that he is married to “the daughter of legal immigrants to this country.” It’s just all the undocumented people that are screwing up America, he says. And all those bad immigrants are going to vote for Democrats. No, seriously, here’s what Vance said:
When somebody like Chuck Schumer says, “Well, you know, we’re going to have an emerging Democratic majority because we’re going to have all these new immigrants and all the old Americans, well, they’re going to vote for Republicans, but we’re going to replace them with a bunch of new people who vote for Democrats,” it’s like, that’s pretty sick.
Vance awkwardly tried to downplay the calls for deportation. “You try to take it one step at a time,” he says. “But the most important thing — and I think the deportations focus, again, it is important because we’re eventually, we are going to deport people — but the most important thing is to stop the bleeding.”
Any immigrant should be paying attention to Trump’s mass deportation plans. Trump has said he wants to deport 15 to 20 million people; the logistics of this will likely be horrifying. People who are here legally may be picked up by accident and detained or deported. It’s awfully convenient for Vance to show up and address an industry full of foreign workers, minimizing the threat. There are shades of his mentor Thiel’s famous comment from 2016: take Trump seriously, but not literally.
We’ve actually had a Trump presidency since those comments, of course. And it suggests Trump should be taken both seriously and literally when he talks about choking off immigration. It’s something he’s already done!
And when Vance says on All-In that he would not have certified the 2020 election — “I would have asked the states to submit alternative slates of electors” are his words, echoing past remarks — that’s something I am inclined to take both seriously and literally, too. Vance is buddies with a monarchist; his mentor Thiel has written, “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.” His running mate has said, “Christians, get out and vote, just this time. You won’t have to do it anymore!” Vance clearly believes in proximity to power. I’m not sure he believes in much else, democracy included. And that seems to suit his Silicon Valley buddies just fine.
Pakistan
Special committee has no mandate to bring constitutional amendment: Omar Ayub
He says PTI will not become part of any such controversial process
Islamabad: Leader of the opposition in National Assembly Omar Ayub on Sunday said that the special committee didn’t have any mandate to bring the constitutional amendment.
On his message at X, opposition leader said that the PTI will not become part of any such controversial process.
“The special committee was constituted on our request after the arrest of PTI MNAs on Sept 10 by the officials of intelligence agencies,” he said.
He said that the special committee was only formed to protect the constitutional rights of MNAs.
It is pertinent to note that National Assembly and Senate’s sessions had been called today to table the constitutional amendment bill.
Earlier, the ruling coalition had postponed the constitutional amendment bill for a day due to the absence of two MNAs from the country on Saturday.
Pakistan
Why is there such haste in presenting these amendments? : Maulana Haidri
JUI F leader expresses concerns on constitutional amendments
Islamabad: JUI-F leader Maulana Abdul Ghafoor Haideri has expressed his concerns over government's proposed constitutional amendments, saying government has not yet provided us with the draft of the amendments.
Speaking to the media in Islamabad, Maulana Haideri emphasized, "We cannot make a decision on supporting the amendments until we have reviewed the draft."
He questioned the urgency with which the government is presenting these amendments, stating, "Why is there such haste in presenting these amendments?"
Haideri added that he will present his party stance in the meeting of parliamentary parties.
He asked, "The government should provide adequate time for us to read and consider the draft."
He also warned that if the government proceeds hastily, "There is a possibility that our party may choose not to participate in the amendment process."
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